Home Values

    Last week, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) released their most recent Existing Home Sales Report. According to the report:

    “The median existing-home price for all housing types in January was $240,500, up 5.8 percent from January 2017 ($227,300). January’s price increase marks the 71st straight month of year-over-year gains.”


    Here are two graphs that help show why home prices are exactly where they should be.

    The first graph shows actual median home sales prices from 2000 through 2017.

    Are Home Values Really Overinflated? | Simplifying The Market

    By itself, this graph could heighten concerns as it shows home values rose in the early 2000s, came tumbling down and are now headed up again. It gives the feel of a rollercoaster ride that is about to take another turn downward.

    However, if we also include where prices would naturally be, had there not been a boom & bust, we see a different story.

    Are Home Values Really Overinflated? | Simplifying The Market

    The blue bars on this graph represent were prices would be if they had increased by the normal annual appreciation rate (3.6%). By adding 3.6% to the actual 2000 price and repeating that for each subsequent year, we can see that prices were overvalued during the boom, undervalued during the bust, and a little bit LOWER than where they should be right now.

    Bottom Line

    Based on historic appreciation levels, we should be very comfortable that current home values are not overinflated.

    Source: Michigan Real Estate Updates

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