Author Archive | JOHN RICE ASSOCIATE BROKER | REALTOR

Monthly Market Trends

MARKET TRENDS REPORT
APRIL 2022


April brought in significant gains over April 2021. April 2022 Year-Over-Year SOLD price averaged 18.11% increase over 2021. The chart on page 4 is an excellent quick glance of how many new properties tend to list per month. Should the trend follow that of past years, we are headed into the time when we see the most number of listings on the market (April – June/July.) With the lower inventory, the market continues to have more buyer than sellers which continues to have the market trend toward a “seller’s” market. That is expected to continue however, the amount of choices for buyers is expected to increase. Daily we are seeing new houses hit the market (new inventory) and daily we see many new listings go under contract (pending.)

Excerpt from page 4 of the April 2022 Market Trends Report

If you like numbers – this is a great report 🙂 If you want to hear more about how this impacts your house and your future plans to move – let’s go beyond what’s here and talk specifics!

Reach out – I am here to help 🙂

View the PDF report on this link to the right here: APRIL 2022 MARKET TRENDS REPORT


Allendale: For Sale: Move In Ready 2 Story

Allendale Schools: This excellent 2 story offers superb location and floor plan coupled with several acres of open land, sidewalks throughout, access to the winding Ottawa Creek, private association park and basketball court.  The main floor features superb livability with large living room, open to the kitchen and eating area, half bath, pantry and access to the deck and attached 2 stall garage. Upstairs you will find the 3 bedrooms (including the primary suite featuring private bath and walk-in closet) 2 additional bedrooms, a 2nd full bath, and the laundry – right where you need it! The lower daylight level is mostly drywalled with electrical and ductwork already in place; laid out with future 4th bedroom,  rec room, plumbed for a bath and storage.  Your going to love this one! Schedule your tour today!

Private Association Park
Close to everyday amenities!

Forest Hills: Former Parade Home Offers High-end Amenities Paired With Superb Livability

Forest Hills Extreme Value! Approx 5000 sq ft, 3 Stall attached garage on beautiful 1.3 wooded acres at the end of a private cul de sac. 13 acres of common space w/ creek. This beautifully crafted Forest Hills 2 story offers the perfect mix of location and floor plan.  Located in the highly sought after Laurel Ridge, this former parade home offers high-end amenities paired with superb livability. From the private backyard with amazing firepit and large deck, to the wonderful light filled sunroom, the nearly 5000 sqft of living space, including 5 bedrooms 4.5 baths, office, 3 stall garage offer the fit, finish, form and function you want in your home today.   In addition to the formal dining room, office, living room with fireplace, kitchen, sunroom and mudroom, the main floor features an excellent guest space bedroom and full bath (or a perfect extra office/study room/ etc.) The upstairs features 4 bedrooms 3 full bath, the primary bedroom features vaulted ceilings, walk-in shower, walk-in closet, upstairs laundry, 3 additional bedrooms including an additional suite with private bath. The walkout lower level features a built-in bar with plenty of room for games, workout area, media area and more! Plus a full extra storage room (which could be converted into an excellent media room, wine cellar, workout area or more!) See this one today!

The Future of Home Price Appreciation and What It Means for You

The Future of Home Price Appreciation and What It Means for You

Many consumers are wondering what will happen with home values over the next few years. Some are concerned that the recent run-up in home prices will lead to a situation similar to the housing crash 15 years ago.

However, experts say the market is totally different today. For example, Odeta Kushi, Deputy Chief Economist at First American, tweeted just last week on this issue:

“. . . We do need price appreciation to slow today (it’s not sustainable over the long run) but high price growth today is supported by fundamentals- short supply, lower rates & demographic demand. And we are in a much different & safer space: better credit quality, low DTI [Debt-To-Income] & tons of equity. Hence, a crash in prices is very unlikely.”

Price appreciation will slow from the double-digit levels the market has seen over the last two years. However, experts believe home values will not depreciate (where a home would lose value).

To this point, Pulsenomics just released the latest Home Price Expectation Survey – a survey of a national panel of over 100 economists, real estate experts, and investment and market strategists. It forecasts home prices will continue appreciating over the next five years. Below are the expected year-over-year rates of home price appreciation based on the average of all 100+ projections:

  • 2022: 9%
  • 2023: 4.74%
  • 2024: 3.67%
  • 2025: 3.41%
  • 2026: 3.57%

Those responding to the survey believe home price appreciation will still be relatively high this year (though half of what it was last year), and then return to more normal levels over the next four years.

What Does This Mean for You as a Buyer?

With a limited supply of homes available for sale and both prices and mortgage rates increasing, it can be a challenging market to navigate as a buyer. But buying a home sooner rather than later does have its benefits. If you wait to buy, you’ll pay more in the future. However, if you buy now, you’ll actually be in the position to make future price increases work for you. Once you buy, those rising home prices will help you build your home’s value, and by extension, your own household wealth through home equity.

As an example, let’s assume you purchased a $360,000 home in January of this year (the median price according to the National Association of Realtors rounded up to the nearest $10K). If you factor in the forecast for appreciation from the Home Price Expectation Survey, you could accumulate over $96,000 in household wealth over the next five years (see graph below):

Bottom Line

If you’re trying to decide whether to buy now or wait, the key is knowing what’s expected to happen with home prices. Experts say prices will continue to climb in the years ahead, just at a slower pace. So, if you’re ready to buy, doing so now may be your best bet for your wallet. It’ll also give you the chance to use the future home price appreciation to build your own net worth through rising equity. If you want to get started, let’s connect today.

Source: Michigan Real Estate Updates

Move-in Ready Ranch with Superb Location and Floor Plan 49506

The perfect combination of location and floor plan. Breton Village mall, Fresh Thyme and your favorite shops within walking distance right out your door! A short bike or car ride and your in East Grand Rapids and all it has to offer. Explore this centrally located, cute-as-a-button ranch, featuring 3 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, 2 stall attached garage, wonderful 4 season sitting room, light filled front living room, updates throughout including excellent color choices featuring the most popular colors of today, wonderful design choices in the kitchen and bathrooms – this one is truly move-in ready! Large lower level offers finished space and storage galore. See this one today!

Michigan Real Estate Update: What’s Happening with Mortgage Rates, and Where Will They Go from Here?

 

What’s Happening with Mortgage Rates, and Where Will They Go from Here?

 

Based on the Primary Mortgage Market Survey from Freddie Mac, the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage has increased by 1.2% (3.22% to 4.42%) since January of this year. The rate jumped by more than a quarter of a point from just a week ago. Here’s a visual to show how mortgage rate movement throughout 2021 was steady compared to the rapid increase in mortgage rates this year:

Just a few months ago, Freddie Mac projected mortgage rates would average 3.6% in 2022. Earlier this month, Fannie Mae forecast mortgage rates would average 3.8% in 2022. As the chart above shows, rates have already surpassed those projections.

Sam Khater, Chief Economist at Freddie Mac, explained in a press release last week:

“This week, the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage increased by more than a quarter of a percent as mortgage rates across all loan types continued to move up. Rising inflation, escalating geopolitical uncertainty and the Federal Reserve’s actions are driving rates higher and weakening consumers’ purchasing power.”

Where Are Mortgage Rates Going from Here?

In a recent article by Bankrate, several industry experts weighed in on where rates might be headed going forward. Here are some of their forecasts:

Greg McBride, Chief Financial Analyst, Bankrate:

“With inflation figures continuing to surprise to the upside, mortgage rates will remain above 4.0% on the 30-year fixed.”

Nadia Evangelou, Senior Economist and Director of Forecasting, National Association of Realtors (NAR):

“While higher short-term interest rates will push up mortgage rates, I expect some of this impact to be mitigated eventually through lower inflation. Thus, I expect the 30-year fixed mortgage rate to continue to rise, although we aren’t likely to see the big jumps that occurred over the past few weeks.”

Len Kiefer, Deputy Chief Economist, Freddie Mac:

“Mortgage rates are likely to continue to move higher throughout the balance of 2022, although the pace of rate increases is likely to moderate.”

In a recent realtor.com article, another expert adds to the conversation:

Danielle Hale, Chief Economist, realtor.com:

“. . . As markets digest the Fed’s updated economic projections, I anticipate a continued increase in mortgage rates over the next several months. . . .”

What Does This Mean for You if You’re Looking To Buy a Home?

With both mortgage rates and home values expected to increase throughout the year, it would be better to buy sooner rather than later if you’re able. That’s because it’ll cost you more the longer you wait. But, there is a possible silver lining to buying a home right now. While you’ll be paying a higher price and a higher mortgage rate than you would have last year, rising prices do have a long-term benefit once you buy.

If you purchase a home today valued at $400,000 and put 10% down, you would be taking out a $360,000 mortgage. According to mortgagecalculator.net, at a 4.42% fixed mortgage rate, your mortgage payment would be $1,807 a month (this does not include insurance, taxes, and other fees because those vary by location).

Now, let’s put that mortgage payment into a new perspective based on the substantial growth in equity that comes with the escalation in home prices. Every quarter, Pulsenomics surveys a panel of over 100 economists, investment strategists, and housing market analysts about their expectations for future home prices in the United States. Last week, Pulsenomics released their latest Home Price Expectation Survey. The survey reveals that the average of the experts’ forecasts calls for a 9% increase in home values in 2022.

Based on those projections, a $400,000 house you buy today could be valued at $436,000 by this time next year. If you break that down, that means the equity in your home would increase by $3,000 a month over that period. That’s greater than the estimated monthly payment above. Granted, the increase in your net worth is tied to the home, but it is one way to put the home price appreciation to use in a way that benefits you.

Bottom Line

Paying a higher price for a home and a higher mortgage rate can be a difficult pill to swallow. However, waiting will just cost you more. To explore if you are ready, willing, and able to buy a home, now will be a better time than a year, or even six months from now  — let’s connect to begin the process today. Several factors go into the interest rate, the best type of loan, and the best way to handle the next purchase – so planning ahead can make a HUGE difference! 


Source: Michigan Real Estate Updates

Industry Update: New Construction: What You Need To Know if You’re Thinking About Building a Home

 

Industry Update: New Construction: What You Need To Know if You’re Thinking About Building a Home

If you’re ready to move up, you may be trying to decide whether you want to buy a home that’s already on the market or build a new one. And since the supply of homes available for sale today is low, you’re willing to consider either avenue. While home builders are doing everything they can to construct more houses and help narrow the supply shortage, they’re also facing delays due to factors outside of their control.

Here’s the latest on some of the key challenges homebuilders are experiencing today and how they could impact your plans to move up. When you know what’s happening in the industry, you can make an informed decision on whether to look for a newly built or an existing home in your home search.

Supply Chain Issues

The first hurdle builders are dealing with is the lack of supply of various building materials. According to a recent article from HousingWire:

“. . . Nearly everything needed in the homebuilding process is facing some sort of delay and subsequent price increase.”

The supply issue isn’t just with lumber, even though that’s what’s covered most in the news. The article explains many other supplies are impacted too, including roofing materials, windows, garage doors, siding, and gypsum (which is used in drywall).

The difficulty in getting these items is dragging out timelines for new homes as builders wait on what they need to finish construction. And since materials are in short supply, even when they do get the product, the principle of supply and demand is driving prices up for those goods. HousingWire explains it like this:

“When supplies are low, charges inevitably go up, . . . Meanwhile, a lack of availability is causing huge delays, meaning builders are struggling to stay on schedule.”

The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) agrees:

“Builders are grappling with supply-chain issues that are extending construction times and increasing costs.”

Skilled Labor Shortage

But that’s not the only challenge with new home construction today. Builders are also having a hard time finding skilled labor, which means they’re short-handed, further dragging out their timelines. Odeta Kushi, Deputy Chief Economist at First American, says this is an ongoing challenge for the industry:

“The skilled labor shortage in the construction industry is not new – it’s been an issue for more than a decade now.”

But there is good news. The February jobs report shows employment gains in the construction industry. Kushi puts this encouraging news into perspective in the article mentioned above:

“Overall this was a good report, . . . The supply of workers continues to fall short of demand, but the underlying momentum of the labor market recovery is strong, and falling COVID case counts provide further forward momentum.”

That means, while finding workers continues to be a challenge for builders, there are signs of positive momentum moving forward.

How This Impacts You

HousingWire explains how these things can impact move-up buyers today:

“The residential construction industry is facing a crisis as builders manage the critical shortage of building materials and labor. Explosive supply and labor costs are forcing long delays. . . .” 

So, when you weigh your options and try to decide between building a home or buying an existing one, factor the potential delay in new home construction into your decision. While it doesn’t mean you should cross newly built homes off your list, it does mean you should consider your timeline and if you’re willing to wait while your home is being constructed.

Bottom Line

When planning your next move, understanding the latest market conditions is key to making the best decision possible. To make sure you have all the information you need, let’s connect. Together we can make sure you know what’s happening in our local market so you can confidently decide what’s right for you, your priorities, and your timeline.


Source: Michigan Real Estate Updates

Michigan: The Average Homeowner Gained More Than $27K in Equity over the Past Year

As a current homeowner, you should know your net worth just got a big boost. It comes in the form of rising home equity. Equity is the current value of your home minus what you owe on the loan. Today, you’re building that equity far faster than you may expect – and this gain is great news for you.

Here’s how it happened. Home values are on the rise thanks to low housing supply and high buyer demand. Basically, there aren’t enough homes available to meet this high buyer interest,  so bidding wars are driving home prices up. When you own a home, the rising prices mean your home is worth more in today’s market. And as home values climb, your equity does too. As Dr. Frank Nothaft, Chief Economist at CoreLogic, explains:

“Home prices rose 18% during 2021 in the CoreLogic Home Price Index, the largest annual gain recorded in its 45-year history, generating a big increase in home equity wealth.”

The latest Homeowner Equity Insights from CoreLogic shed light on just how much rising home values have boosted homeowner equity. According to that report, the average homeowner’s equity has grown by $55,300 over the last 12 months, for Michigan the number is closer to $27k. 

 

Want to know what’s happening in your area? Here’s a breakdown of the average year-over-year equity growth for each state based on that data.

The Average Homeowner Gained More Than $55K in Equity over the Past Year | Simplifying The Market

 

How Rising Equity Impacts You

In addition to building your overall net worth, equity can also help you achieve other goals like buying your next home. It works like this: when you sell your house, the equity you built up comes back to you in the sale.

In a market where you’re gaining so much equity, it may be just what you need to cover a large portion – if not all – of the down payment on your next home. So, if you’ve been holding off on selling and worried about being priced out of your next home because of today’s home price appreciation, rest assured your equity can help fuel your move.

Bottom Line

Equity can be a real game-changer if you’re planning to make a move. To find out just how much equity you have in your home and how you can use it to fuel your next purchase, let’s connect so you can get a professional equity assessment report on your house.


Source: Michigan Real Estate Updates